How a refined pitch mix could transform the Mets' All-Star into a more consistent and reliable arm David Peterson's 2025 season told two wildly different stories. The left-hander earned his first All-Star selection after a dominant first half, posting a 3.06 ERA and 3.42 FIP through 18 starts. What followed was a massive struggle. Over his final 12 starts, Peterson's ERA drastically increased to 6.34, culminating in a brutal September where he posted a 9.72 ERA over 16.2 inn

Breaking down the contract and where both the Orioles and Mets go from here After a ton of uncertainty and a calculated bet on himself, Pete Alonso has landed with the Baltimore Orioles on a reported five-year, $155 million deal. I'm quite shocked, as my prediction was slightly off. As I said in my breakdown yesterday (seen here ), I correctly predicted the length of the deal in the 3-5 year range. However, I was off on my AAV. I predicted he would only get $30M in a three-y

How the Phillies secured their offensive anchor, the Dodgers addressed their biggest weakness, how the Mets proceed, and implications on the rest of the market Day 3 of the Winter Meetings saw the first major slew of moves that could get the rest of the market to start falling into place. The two big free agent signings of the day were Kyle Schwarber re-signing with the Phillies for 5 years, $150M and Edwin Díaz surprising everyone by signing with the Dodgers for 3 years, $6

Why theres more to the story behind Devin Williams 2025 season and why it makes perfect sense for the Mets Last week the Mets made their first major free agent signing of the offseason, inking reliever Devin Williams to a three-year, $51 million deal with $15 million deferred from 2036-2045 in $1.5 million annual increments. The contract also includes a $6 million signing bonus paid out evenly over the three years, lowering the present day value as the Mets continue to res

Why the Blue Jays might've overpaid for Cease and one change he can make to improve The Toronto Blue Jays made the first nine figure free agent signing of the offseason, inking starter Dylan Cease to a 7-year, $210M deal with $64M in deferrals. The present day value sits around $187.25M, still making it the largest free agent contract in franchise history. This surpasses the 5-year, $150M deal given to George Springer in 2021 equating to roughly $180M in 2025 dollars. While

What makes Skubal so valuable and why a 7 year deal for $315M might make sense next year (Written in July 2025) BACKGROUND Skubal is in the midst of his fifth full MLB season and is unquestionably having the best year of his career. The 255th overall pick in the 2018 MLB Draft, Skubal made his major league debut in 2020 but had not experienced a true breakout season until 2024. Since then, he has taken the league by storm and taken an even greater step forward through the fi

Looking into why a 6 year deal for $120M might make sense for both the Pirates and Skenes (Written in June 2025) BACKGROUND Since his debut in May 2024, Paul Skenes has quickly established himself as one of Major League Baseball’s best pitchers. The 2023 first overall draft pick concluded his rookie season with 23 starts, 133 innings pitched, an 11–3 record, 1.96 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 170 strikeouts, and a 2.44 FIP. His dominance earned him a list of accolades including the fifth