Why Swing Decisions and Contact Ability Will Be Increasingly Valued For much of the past decade, offensive player valuation across Major League Baseball has increasingly accepted an "all-or-nothing" ideology in which elevated strikeout rates are tolerated in exchange for power production. As long as a hitter could generate damage on contact, swing-and-miss and aggressive chase tendencies were often viewed as acceptable tradeoffs rather than inefficiencies. The gradual adop

Its impact on roster construction, player valuation, game strategy, and more The catcher is one of the most resource-intensive positions in baseball. It combines the highest physical workload with one of the steepest offensive penalties, and its defensive value is tied to skills that are difficult to quantify and replace. Under current roster rules, teams typically carry two catchers on a 26-man active roster, accounting for roughly 7.7% of roster spots leaguewide. What if t

How a refined pitch mix could transform the Mets' All-Star into a more consistent and reliable arm David Peterson's 2025 season told two wildly different stories. The left-hander earned his first All-Star selection after a dominant first half, posting a 3.06 ERA and 3.42 FIP through 18 starts. What followed was a massive struggle. Over his final 12 starts, Peterson's ERA drastically increased to 6.34, culminating in a brutal September where he posted a 9.72 ERA over 16.2 inn

Breaking down the contract and where both the Orioles and Mets go from here After a ton of uncertainty and a calculated bet on himself, Pete Alonso has landed with the Baltimore Orioles on a reported five-year, $155 million deal. I'm quite shocked, as my prediction was slightly off. As I said in my breakdown yesterday (seen here ), I correctly predicted the length of the deal in the 3-5 year range. However, I was off on my AAV. I predicted he would only get $30M in a three-y

How the Phillies secured their offensive anchor, the Dodgers addressed their biggest weakness, how the Mets proceed, and implications on the rest of the market Day 3 of the Winter Meetings saw the first major slew of moves that could get the rest of the market to start falling into place. The two big free agent signings of the day were Kyle Schwarber re-signing with the Phillies for 5 years, $150M and Edwin Díaz surprising everyone by signing with the Dodgers for 3 years, $6

Best metrics that indicate sustainable success for starting pitchers (Written in January 2025) Metrics and advanced analytics are invaluable tools for evaluating player performance, particularly when assessing pitchers. The way we combine and apply these metrics can significantly impact our understanding of a player’s potential for sustainable success. In this analysis, I have compiled a comprehensive list of pitching metrics that I believe best indicate the core components